Monday, May 11, 2026

Broadcast TV’s Inefficiency Has Been Lucrative. Will DAI Change That?

 

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Broadcast Industry News - Television, Cable, On-demand

Broadcast TV’s Inefficiency Has Been Lucrative. Will DAI Change That?

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Dynamic Ad Insertion in broadcast could be a threat to revenue or a path to growth.

At the NAB Show, I was speaking with the CEO of a broadcast company about bringing precision ad targeting and dynamic ad insertion (DAI) to local broadcast TV. They asked a simple but important question: Would this negatively impact revenues?

It’s a fair question and one I’ve heard repeatedly since mentioning DAI in a previous column. It’s worth taking a closer look.

For decades, broadcasters have benefited from a highly effective model: Sell mass reach, with limited inventory, at premium pricing. The same spot runs across a broad audience, supported by demographic targeting. That inefficiency reaching many viewers outside the intended target has been incredibly lucrative.

This model worked when television dominated audience share and advertisers had few viable alternatives. That world has changed. Today, there is an abundance of content, channels and platforms. Advertisers are increasingly shifting dollars toward environments where they can target specific audiences, measure outcomes and attribute performance. Much of that spend is flowing to streaming, digital and social platforms.

That said, I remain a strong believer in the power of linear TV. It still delivers scale in a way no other local medium can, and it continues to drive results for advertisers.

So, the question isn’t whether DAI disrupts the current model. It can. The real question is whether the risk of disruption outweighs the risk of doing nothing.

Let’s look at both sides.

The Benefits of Enabling DAI in Broadcast

1. Attracting New Advertisers — There are advertisers, particularly in larger DMAs, who avoid broadcast due to waste. A retailer in Tempe doesn’t necessarily want to pay for coverage across the entire Phoenix market. DAI enables geographic, demographic and behavioral targeting, opening the door to advertisers currently allocating budgets to CTV, digital and social.

2. Yield Optimization — DAI allows stations to extract greater value from lower-rated or lower-demand programming. Impression-based selling and audience targeting can improve monetization of inventory that might otherwise be discounted or filled with lower-value direct response ads.

3. Sales Flexibility — Broadcast’s strength is reach. DAI adds the ability to layer precision. Advertisers can choose between broad campaigns, targeted campaigns or a hybrid of both depending on their objectives.

4. Messaging Power — DAI enables sequential messaging at the household level, allowing advertisers to tell a story over time rather than relying on a single exposure.

5. Higher CPM Potential — Targeted inventory typically commands higher CPMs, assuming sufficient demand and fill rates.

6. Retargeting Capabilities — Retargeting is central to performance advertising. Bringing this capability into broadcast creates new relevance for advertisers focused on conversion.

7. Frequency Management — Advertisers gain better control over how often their message is seen, improving effectiveness and reducing waste.

8. Future-Proofing the Business — As advertising investment shifts toward performance and outcomes, DAI ensures broadcast remains competitive for retail media, performance budgets and data-driven campaigns.

9. Improved Measurement and Attribution — This is a critical addition. DAI creates the opportunity to align broadcast with impression-based measurement and attribution models that advertisers increasingly demand.

The Concerns

1. Loss of Scarcity and Stature — Broadcast risks becoming “just another impression,” potentially eroding the premium associated with broad reach.

2. Inventory Fragmentation — If a meaningful percentage of impressions are allocated to DAI, the value of broad-based program delivery could be diluted.

3. Fill Rate Risk — CTV has shown that more granular targeting can lead to lower fill rates in non-premium environments. Broadcasters must avoid creating unsold inventory through over-fragmentation.

4. Political Revenue Impact — This is significant. Broadcast’s inefficiency has been particularly lucrative in political advertising. DAI could allow campaigns to target only relevant zones or congressional districts, potentially reducing total spend.

5. Sales Resistance — Sales teams are compensated on total revenue. Selling broad market coverage is simpler and often more lucrative under current commission structures. Change will require sales leadership adoption and retraining.

6. Operational Complexity — DAI introduces new requirements data partnerships, identity resolution, privacy compliance, ad decisioning systems and workflow integration. This is not a plug-and-play transition.

From my view, the benefits far outweigh the concerns.

Broadcast’s inefficiency was valuable when it controlled scarcity. Today, advertisers have options. With CTV, they can reach audiences with precision, measure performance and optimize in real time across multiple platforms. As that becomes the standard, inefficiency becomes harder to defend.

The greater risk may not be revenue disruption from adopting DAI but revenue erosion from failing to compete.

A smarter path forward would likely be a hybrid model. The opportunity is not to replace broad reach with targeting. That would be a mistake. The opportunity is to combine them. Preserve premium inventory, news, sports, prime time and major tentpole events for reach-based selling. These remain uniquely valuable.

Then open portions of lower-demand inventory, daytime, latenight, weekends and select programming to DAI. Use this inventory for targeted direct sales and programmatic demand.

This balance will vary by market, network and station. Over time, AI-driven optimization can help manage yield dynamically, allocating inventory based on demand and pricing conditions to provide the best audience match for advertisers while managing rate integrity for broadcasters.

DAI, implemented thoughtfully, does not weaken broadcast. It expands by allowing broadcasters to move from a single-product model with mass reach to a multi-dimensional offering. 

This offering then becomes the ultimate competitive advantage for broadcasters: broadcast reach + local trust + valued live content + precision targeting + measurable outcomes. No other media has this combination at the local level, and this will be a game changer for broadcast TV.

If It Breeds (Chaos), It Leads

 

If I

t Breeds (Chaos), It Leads

In a first, Truth Social has taken the No. 2 slot -- just behind Fox News -- among right-wing news sites, thanks in large part to Trump's chaotic messaging about the war in Iran.

“Truth Social was an anomaly," explains right-wing news site traffic tracker TheRighting President Howard Polskin, noting that visits to the vast majority of the top 10 right-wing sites "dropped at an alarming rate, capping a three-month trend suggesting that the war in Iran is not driving more traffic."

Polskin attributes Truth Social's ascendency to its role as Trump's main channel for "communicating his increasingly erratic strategy about the war and his often chaotic world view.”

While there is still a huge gap between No. 1 and No. 2 in terms of total traffic volume (see top 20 sites analysis below), Truth Social now has about a fifth of Fox News' monthly traffic and is twice the size of No. 3 Breitbart's.

Truth Social's traffic surge hasn't exactly led to the kind of monetization what would normally be expected by a digital publisher surging in traffic gains. Publicly traded Trump Media and Technology Group this week reported a stunning loss of $406 million for the first quarter of 2026.


For 2026: Local TV Ad Trend Going To The 'Core'

 

Commentary

For 2026: Local TV Ad Trend Going To The 'Core'

Mixed local TV advertising news continues to cause uncertainty heading into the second half of 2026. The positive comes from current and near-term political advertising growth, around the mid-term elections.

For example, E.W. Scripps recently reported that political advertising in the first quarter of this year was $9 million -- up from $3.3 million a year ago (and 50% higher compared to the first quarter of 2022, the previous midterm election season.)

Likewise, Nexstar Media Group -- the largest TV station company in the U.S. -- posted $41 million in political ad revenue, up $6M from a year ago. Sinclair -- the next-biggest station group -- topped $18 million, also compared to $6 million a year ago.

Both have a huge number of stations in competitive or swing states -- 23 for Nexstar and 26 for Sinclair -- which potentially will drive up political messaging.

But core local, non-political advertising still has an uncertain outlook.

Local broadcasters say the marketplace is still “choppy.” Scripps, for one, talked about weakness in the direct-response performance brands, saying that “inflationary pressure and higher fuel costs have created some hesitation in the marketplace.”

Scripps has done well compared to its competitors, with core, local non-political advertising growing 6% to $140 million in the first quarter -- mostly attributable to local TV sports programming agreements with four NHL teams, as well as the Winter Olympics and Super Bowl.

Nexstar Media Group only grew 1.2% in core advertising in the period (to $507 million) which includes its acquisition of mid-sized station group Tegna. Much of this was due to amped-up sports programming on Tegna NBC’s affiliates with the Super Bowl and the Winter Olympics in February and March.

Sinclair Inc. (which is still looking to acquire E.W. Scripps) was up 4% to $261 million in the period -- mostly driven by digital platform strength.

But there is more concern coming, especially with regard to new Nielsen Big Data+Panel measurement.

One recent audit from the Media Rating Council showed a 10% decline in the key adult 25-54 demographic, which could have a major effect on local TV station advertising revenue.

The positive is that Nielsen’s new measure fills the smaller market programs with viewing data, which were previously too small to capture viewing, resulting in "zero’ ratings." There is also more granular detail for stations coming offering advanced TV audience data.

At the same time, there is much volatile and “undercounting” of specific audience groups, according to executives. More adjustments are coming from Nielsen, however.

The prospect is to look forward to the next first-quarter period, where a bigger spotlight will be core advertising (without spikes in political advertising).

A mixed view will then offer a clearer -- if not more honest -- vision of performance, perhaps some good and some bad.

Fox Corp. Q1: Core Ads +11%, Fox News Gains

 

Fox Corp. Q1: Core Ads +11%, Fox News Gains

Fox Corp. posted strong Q1 advertising results for its Fox News Media, Fox Television Network, and Tubi platforms early this morning, with its upfront program presentation scheduled for later this afternoon.

The company said advertising performance at Fox News Media -- including Fox News Channel and Fox Business -- grew 5%, achieving “its highest calendar 1Q 26 ad revenue ever,” according to company executives.

This was driven by higher news pricing. Overall, Fox’s cable TV networks grew to 4.8% to $390 million.

Company executives say this strong trend will continue into the second quarter this year.

Fox Corp’s Television segment -- including Fox Television Network and Tubi -- posted lower 30% lower advertising due to unfavorable comparisons to the previous year, when it aired Super Bowl LIX.

Taking out the Super Bowl, Madison and Wall estimates core overall first-quarter advertising growth of 11% year-over-year. Without the Super Bowl, Fox said, its advertising was up by double-digit percentages.

Free, ad-supported/streaming TV channel (FAST) Tubi now comprises 23% of Fox’s total advertising business, according to industry estimates -- around $358 million for this first quarter period, growing 23% year over year.

During its earnings call, Fox said there are very few quarterly options acted on by brands to pull back on upfront advertising deals made a year ago -- adding that the scatter market is fairly healthy, especially coming from pharmaceutical, financial, and technology marketers.

Fox can count on its advertising seeing a major boost this summer because of the FIFA World Cup events -- and starting next season, two additional NFL regular-season games.

Fox revenues were down 9% to $3.99 billion with cash flow -- adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization -- up 11% to $954 million.

Mid-day Monday trading of Fox Corp. stock was up 7.4% to $56.95.

NBC Upfront: New Prime-Time Shows, 'Outcome' Tools

 

NBC Upfront: New Prime-Time Shows, 'Outcome' Tools

As it builds up its prime-time sports programming roster and new prime-time series for the fall, NBCUniversal is deepening its effort around business outcome offerings for its brand advertisers.

As part of its upfront presentation on Monday, NBCU announced it will scale up its "Performance Insights Hub" -- its full-funnel outcome data platform for brands' media schedules -- on all NBC linear TV and streaming platforms in the fourth quarter.

This includes campaign delivery and audience insights.

This will address all advertising categories with data coming from third-party sources including Dynata, EDO, InMarket, IQVIA, iSpot, Kantar Affinity Solutions, Kochava, LiveRamp, VideoAmp.

NBCU says its ongoing "Live Total Impact" effort -- which takes a brand’s message for big live events, especially for its growing sports programs, and “re-exposes those viewers” across its platforms -- will also get a boost. In one example, State Farm witnessed more than a 90% lift from consumers.

In the fourth quarter, NBCU is starting up a "Live Contextual" tool, to align live program content more closely with brand-messaging content.

NBC is also improving its Agentic AI strategy, where specialized agents will automate transactions and "surface" intelligence in near real-time.

In his remarks at NBC’s upfront presentation, Mark Marshall, chairman of global advertising and partnerships at NBCU relished the good association the company has in being called a ‘legacy” media company. This year NBC is celebrating its 100th year anniversary at TV company.

In terms of programming for the upcoming season starting in September, NBCU is adding four new series in prime time for the NBC Television Network: family drama "Line of Fire"; "The Rockford Files," a refresh of the old TV series; "Newlyweds," played by real-life couple Téa Leoni and Tim Daly; and "Sunset P.I.," a comedy from the creators of "Brooklyn Nine-Nine."

Unscripted programming efforts include a new "civilian" version of "The Traitors." The celebrity-focused show, which has been on NBC Television Network's Peacock, started up its fourth season earlier this year. The popular word game “Wordle” also starts up this season.

On the weekends, NBC continues to count heavily on sports programming for Sundays. This year it added "Sunday Night Baseball" to its prime-time lineup, joining “Sunday Night Football” and “Sunday Night Basketball.”

Season-to-date, "Sunday Night Baseball" is averaging 2.3 million viewers -- 40% higher at the same point in the season compared to ESPN a year ago.

"Sunday Night Football" earned a Nielsen-measured 20.6 million average viewers this season -- the highest-rated broadcast prime-time show, and third-highest among sport programs overall after CBS’s and Fox's NFL afternoon games.

The highest-rated prime-time shows on the NBC Television Network so far this year (through May 3) are "Chicago Fire" (with 7.2 million viewers), "Chicago Med" (7.1 million) and "Chicago PD" (with 6.4 million).