Monday, March 13, 2023

Can Local TV Advertising Turn the Corner? Direction Unknown

 While both heads of Media companies agonize for national business, the most profitable and sustainably, the most controllable business is local-direct! I think what Mr. Weisbord is talking about as being local is "local agency" business. Philip Jay LeNoble, Ph.D.

COMMENTARY

Can Local TV Advertising Turn the Corner? Direction Unknown

Is the legacy TV advertising market really bifurcating -- at least in the short term?

Here is one current example: Local TV appears to be maintaining its strength in advertising coming off a strong fourth quarter, which pulled in typically strong midterm political advertising, while national TV is very weak -- the scatter market, that is.

And now it seems there is some continued strength as we start a 2023 non-political election season.

“Local was strong in January and February,” said Robert Weisbord, chief operating officer of Sinclair Broadcast Group, in a recent earnings phone call. “The weakness we’re seeing is really on the national side.”

Weisbord did not provide specific details, and of course it’s still early in the year. And we haven’t seen what categories are actually growing. One thing is certain: “core” local TV advertising overall remains weak -- at least for the fourth quarter. Record political advertising more than made up for this.

Then Perry Sook, CEO of Nexstar Media Group, said the same thing — almost.

“The weakness we see is in national, where national advertisers — who obviously aren’t as close to the end-user and customer — have paused or reduced spending due to a potential weakness in consumers going forward,” he said.

The intent here comes down to niche audience marketing, he signals — that local TV stations are on the ground close to those local advertisers' business activities, and they get a better read on things

Local TV stations would like to believe their businesses can rival Facebook and Google, which built their businesses on millions of local marketers looking for specific business outcomes from digital messages.

Although these companies have recently taken a hit when it comes to advertisers, both still have tremendous power and strength moving forward.

Dare we say that perhaps local TV is still looking to ramp up more of those digital businesses? Surely, it is now packaging locally based OTT platform advertising sales -- from new ad-sales businesses -- to be added into their traditional linear TV buys for extended reach.

Those digital revenues themselves are still slow-moving. But perhaps local TV might get more attention when it comes to renewing advertisers' interest in the broader-reach approach for their specific markets.

Still, I wonder if the early 2023 start for local TV stations is just a minor trend -- and may not be long-lasting.

We will, as they say, stay tuned. If not that, maybe just stay streamed.

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